Recentaly escalation in west asia has reached new heights as Israel’s strike on the Iranian consulate in Syria led to a retaliatory attack from Iran
Table of Contents
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Factors of instability West Asia
1.Isarael-Palestine conflict – The Isarael-Palestine conflict is an ongoing military and political conflict about land and self determination within the territory of the former mandatory Palestine
2.Proxy wars:Iran vs Israel ; The Iran Israel proxy war or Iran Israel cold war, is an ongoing proxy conflict between Iran and Israel.
3.Civil Wars and Insurgency a) Yemen Houthis conflict Arabian conflict is an ongoing armed conflict between the Royal Saudi Armed Forces & Iran backed Yemeni Houthi forces.
b)Egypt ; Insurgency in Sinai Peninsula – The insurgency initially consisted of militants, largely composed of local Bedouin tribesmen.
Impact on India : West Asia
1.India’s act of diplomatic and strategic balancing may be tasted due to engagement with conflicting intersts.
2.Maritime security challenges include drone attacks ,hacking(Houthis attack in red sea ) impacting freedom of navigation in India’s maritime region.
3.Safety and Security of the Indian diaspora in the middle east region may become a concern.
Delay in completion of infrastructure projects such as India middle east Europe Economic corridor.(IMEC)
4.Threat to energy security as India is highly dependent on imports of crude oil(85%)
5. Impact on Indian Economy a)Disruption in global maritime trade and supply chain may lead to a rise in fuel prices. b)Nagative impact on inflation rate c)Rise in shipping costs.
Concluision : India should remain mindful of its wide ranging interest in this region such as enrgy security ,safety of indian diaspora and maritime security…
Way forword : West Asia
1.Resolution of the Israel-Palestine issues based on based on the two nation theory for long term security ,peace and stability